A collision could take place in the room between the asteroid 2024 YR4 and the moon in 2032. If he occurred, a gigantic meteopolitan rain could fall onto the earth. Is there a danger to populations?
It is a scenario that is worthy of an American film. An asteroid could hit the moon hard in 2032. This large rock, which is designated for 2024 years, measures 60 meters in diameter. In the event of a collision, the earthlings were able to visit a huge meteor rain above their heads.
A probability of 4.3 %
According to astronomers, the probability of effects is 4.3 %. It may seem little. However, this probability is important enough to be taken seriously. The effects would be “comparable to a large nuclear explosion in relation to liberated energy”. According to simulations, up to 100 million kg of material would be projected from the moon surface.
A fabulous show in the sky
If the asteroid hits the visible side of the moon, up to 10 % of the debris could be attracted by earthly gravity. In the following days, these debris went to our planet. If you dissolve by entering the atmosphere, you could damage satellites, but there will be no danger for earthlings, which will nevertheless observe a fabulous spectacle in the sky.
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Why the Asteroid YR4 is no longer considered a threat to the earth
At the beginning of 2025, space agencies had examined 2024 years for 4 years before excluding the scenario of an effect risk with the country. The asteroid will move away from the earth before it can be observed again from 2028.
In 2022 with the darts mission a NASA ship Had deliberately hit the dimorphos -asteroid deviate from his trajectory. It is estimated that an object of one kilometer – which explains a global catastrophe as the extinction of dinosaurs – crashes on earth every 500,000 years