The probability of asteroids 2024 YR4 reaching the moon in December 2032 was increased by new data collected by the James Webb (JWST) space telescope by NASA. Feared being the biggest threat of impact on earth ever detected, the chances of reaching the moon now is 4.3 %compared to 3.8 %, as NASA release. The update occurs after scientists refined their expected path by almost 20% using the infrared camera near JWST. While asteroid is currently too far away to observe from Earth, its reappearance offers a rare window to recalculate its future orbit.
Asteroid 2024 years now considered safe, as NASA does not confirm the risk of land impact by 2032 or beyond
According to NASA Update and discoveries led by Andy Rivkin in Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory, even a direct impact would not disturb the Moon orbitAstronomer Pawan Kumar, former Indian Institute of Astrophysics, agreed that the risk is insignificant, explaining that the debris of such a collision would remain lunar or disintegrate in the atmosphere of the earth. Asteroid 2024 years, the size of a 10 -story building, was discovered in December 2023. Space Rock has a 3.1 % chance of reaching Earth, the highest probability that a large asteroid has had to reach the planet.
The asteroid caught the attention of the world in early 2024, when it seemed it could hit the planet over a wide region that included Pacific, South America, Africa and Asia. While NASA He unfolded threats from Tsunami, an air explosion over a populated region could have broken windows and caused lower damage. However, on February 24, after an extensive observation, the agency officially ruled out any danger, reducing the likelihood of land impact to 0.004%.
Additional data from Chile’s telescope and Hawaii tracked the origin of 2024 years to the main asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter. He moved to a ORBIT ALMOY OF EARTH over time. Space Rock is now beyond visual reach, but it will re -enter the visibility of the telescope in 2028, allowing scientists to study their physical characteristics and update trajectory estimates.
Although now considered safe, the asteroid served as a real -world essay for planetary defense systems. “2024 YR4 is an asteroid made to the planetary defense efforts,” said Kumar. From initial detection to global communication, the episode provided a complete cycle test of how Earth would react to a threat of genuine asteroid, offering invaluable information for future preparation.