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Bitcoin increased to $ 104,300, confirming the upward trend and strengthening upward perspectives that many analysts have projected for 2025. This movement places the BTC deeply in the territory of the range of the range, with the next major challenge now clearly in sight: the summit of all time at $ 109,000. The market strength is on the back of solid technical performance and more and more optimistic feeling, because BTC continues to direct the cryptographic rally and the altcoins are following the plunge.
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The data on the cryptocurrency chain add more weight to the Haussier story. A remarkable metric highlights growing confidence among major holders: the absolute difference between the price made of new whales and old whales is now $ 59.7,000. More specifically, the new whales have entered the market at an average price of $ 91.9,000, while the base of old whales of the old whale remains $ 32.2,000. This results in a relative propagation of 185% at the base of the long -term holder (LTH) – a massive divergence.
This wide difference indicates that a new wave of high conviction buyers enters the market at considerably high prices. Unlike the prudent whales accumulation during the previous cycle, this phase reflects a strong belief in continued upwardseven at premium levels. It is a clear sign that the institutional FOMO can come into play.
Bitcoin faces resistance to $ 104,000 while whale activity signals increased fomo
Bitcoin is currently meeting resistance around the $ 104,000 mark – a level that can take time to break because it represents a critical barrier before entering the price discovery above the top of all time almost $ 109,000. The recent gathering has shown remarkable force, but as BTC is just consolidated below its ATH, some sales pressure is expected. A successful breakthrough could lead to a rapid increase of $ 109,000; However, not doing so may cause short -term consolidation or retracement.
Top Axel Adler Key analyst Chain information on x This highlights the evolution of the psychology of the greatest Bitcoin holders. According to Adler, the absolute difference between the price made of new whales ($ 91.9,000) and old whales ($ 32.2,000) is $ 59.7,000, which represents a relative distribution of 185% at the base of the long -term holder (LTH). This strong divergence reveals that new “whales” enter the market at almost three times the price of the first participants.
In comparison, the same spread in November 2022 was only 62%, which indicates a more prudent accumulation near the bottom of the market. The 185% current thrust reflects the increase in confidence and the FOMO, with major buyers ready to accumulate even at high prices. For the context, during the peak of the cycle from 2021 to $ 63,000, the gap extended to 437%.
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This trend suggests that the market is entering a more aggressive accumulation phase, where belief in the rise in prices stimulates demand despite the premium. If the bulls manage to absorb resistance around $ 104,000, this could mark the beginning of a parabolic movement – fueled not only by a momentum, but by conviction of retail and institutional sales players betting on a new bitcoin of the highest.
BTC price analysis: key levels to monitor
Bitcoin is negotiated about $ 103,000 after reaching a summit of $ 104,300 earlier during the day. The 4 -hour graph shows resistance to the BTC at $ 103,600, which aligns a key supply area from the end of December 2024 and early January 2025. This area acted as a previous point of rejection during the last major rally and is now tested again as potential resistance.
The recent increase in BTC in the consolidation area from $ 87,000 to $ 90,000 was aggressive, exceeding 200 EMA and 200 SMA (currently at $ 91,806 and $ 89,400, respectively) with a strong volume. This confirms the bullish force and the pursuit of trends, which suggests that buyers still control. However, the current beach between $ 103,000 and $ 104,000 is historically important, and the bulls may need to absorb the sale pressure before trying a movement towards the level of all time almost $ 109,000.
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If BTC is consolidated above $ 100,000 and holds this level as a new support, it would strengthen the case of upward workforce. On the other hand, exceeding $ 103,600 proper to a short -term decline. The market structure remains generally optimistic, but this resistance zone will be essential to determine whether Bitcoin enters the price discovery or breaks for accumulation.
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